[선물] Fed는 여전히 거부 중이고 Giants는 보고서를 게시합니다. / Fed is Still in Denial, and…

US Tech 100 CFD
Trade24Fx
As of this morning, almost everyone from FAAMG has reported with the exception of Amazon. The reporting was excellent, as expected. Double-digit revenue growth, sharply outperforming earnings forecasts - so much more to wish for.
Not surprisingly, investor sentiment in the stock market has changed again. This was facilitated by a respite in a bloodbath in the Chinese stock market, as well as statements from the Celestial Empire that they still allow IPOs of Chinese companies in the United States (recall that it was China's dissatisfaction with an IPO in the United States that was one of the main reasons for the outbreak of the stock market massacre)...
But it was far from complete calm, if only because everyone was apprehensively awaiting the results of the meeting of the Federal Reserve Committee on Open Market Operations. Recall that the latest inflation data drove the Central Bank into a corner. Well, how they drove. If we ignore inflation statistics, as the US Central Bank has done in recent months, then they have not been driven at all.
Yesterday's results showed that the Fed is still at the stage of denial and has not made any progress towards the stage of adoption. Judging by the text of the final FOMC statement, one of the fastest economic recoveries in the history of the United States is still classified as "the economy is showing signs of improvement, but has not yet recovered ."
And there is no need to talk about inflation at all - it is still ignored by the Central Bank . Or not even worse. The Fed believes that inflation in the long term has not yet reached the target of 2% (they wrote this in all seriousness in the communique) and the Fed (it turns out) is doing everything possible to accelerate it to this very 2%. Let us recall the latest figures: consumer inflation 5.4%, industrial inflation - 7.3%.
It is not surprising that with such a picture of the world, the Fed did not even think about raising the rate yesterday or even adjusting the parameters of the quantitative easing program.
The reasons for this blindness are generally obvious. The Fed is afraid of the bursting of bubbles that could bury financial markets and the financial system as a whole. And they pull the rubber to the last. Judging by the reaction of the US stock market to the results of the FOMC meeting, they are doing very well.
Among other news, it is worth noting the return of the dynamics of oil reserves in the United States to its usual course. According to the EIA and API , they fell again, recalling the shortage in the oil market. However, buyers were not strongly inspired and oil continued to drift near the top.
As for today, in addition to Amazon reporting, we are waiting for preliminary data on US GDP for the second quarter. The data will most likely be great. But they still do not answer the main question. And it sounds like this: "What will happen next?" It is likely that the pace of economic recovery is at its peak. And everyone roughly guesses what follows the peak. But I don’t want to think about it yet. But you have to. So we also follow the jobless claims figures as the most efficient available indicator of US economic statistics.
Not surprisingly, investor sentiment in the stock market has changed again. This was facilitated by a respite in a bloodbath in the Chinese stock market, as well as statements from the Celestial Empire that they still allow IPOs of Chinese companies in the United States (recall that it was China's dissatisfaction with an IPO in the United States that was one of the main reasons for the outbreak of the stock market massacre)...
But it was far from complete calm, if only because everyone was apprehensively awaiting the results of the meeting of the Federal Reserve Committee on Open Market Operations. Recall that the latest inflation data drove the Central Bank into a corner. Well, how they drove. If we ignore inflation statistics, as the US Central Bank has done in recent months, then they have not been driven at all.
Yesterday's results showed that the Fed is still at the stage of denial and has not made any progress towards the stage of adoption. Judging by the text of the final FOMC statement, one of the fastest economic recoveries in the history of the United States is still classified as "the economy is showing signs of improvement, but has not yet recovered ."
And there is no need to talk about inflation at all - it is still ignored by the Central Bank . Or not even worse. The Fed believes that inflation in the long term has not yet reached the target of 2% (they wrote this in all seriousness in the communique) and the Fed (it turns out) is doing everything possible to accelerate it to this very 2%. Let us recall the latest figures: consumer inflation 5.4%, industrial inflation - 7.3%.
It is not surprising that with such a picture of the world, the Fed did not even think about raising the rate yesterday or even adjusting the parameters of the quantitative easing program.
The reasons for this blindness are generally obvious. The Fed is afraid of the bursting of bubbles that could bury financial markets and the financial system as a whole. And they pull the rubber to the last. Judging by the reaction of the US stock market to the results of the FOMC meeting, they are doing very well.
Among other news, it is worth noting the return of the dynamics of oil reserves in the United States to its usual course. According to the EIA and API , they fell again, recalling the shortage in the oil market. However, buyers were not strongly inspired and oil continued to drift near the top.
As for today, in addition to Amazon reporting, we are waiting for preliminary data on US GDP for the second quarter. The data will most likely be great. But they still do not answer the main question. And it sounds like this: "What will happen next?" It is likely that the pace of economic recovery is at its peak. And everyone roughly guesses what follows the peak. But I don’t want to think about it yet. But you have to. So we also follow the jobless claims figures as the most efficient available indicator of US economic statistics.
번역:
US Tech 100 CFD
트레이드24Fx
오늘 아침 현재, 아마존을 제외한 FAAMG의 거의 모든 사람들이 보고했습니다. 예상했던 대로 보고는 훌륭했어요. 두 자릿수의 수익 성장으로 수익 전망치를 크게 웃돌고 있습니다. 더 바랄 것이 많습니다.
증시의 투자심리가 또 달라진 것은 당연하다. 이는 중국 증시의 피바다에서의 휴식과 천제국의 발표에 의해 촉진되었다. 천제국은 여전히 미국 내 중국 기업의 IPO를 허용하고 있다(중국의 미국 IPO에 대한 불만이 주식시장 대량학살의 주요 원인 중 하나였음을 상기한다).e) ...
그러나 공개시장운영 연방준비제도이사회(FRB) 회의 결과를 모두가 걱정스럽게 기다리고 있었기 때문에 완전한 평정은 아니었다. 최근의 인플레이션 데이터가 중앙은행을 궁지로 몰아넣었다는 것을 상기하라. 음, 어떻게 운전했는지. 우리가 인플레이션 통계를 무시한다면, 미국 중앙은행이 최근 몇 달 동안 해왔던 것처럼, 인플레이션 통계는 전혀 추진력이 없다.
어제의 결과에 따르면 연준은 아직 거부 단계에 있으며 채택 단계로 나아가지 않고 있다. 최종 FOMC 성명의 텍스트로 미루어 볼 때, 미국 역사상 가장 빠른 경제 회복 중 하나는 여전히 "경제가 나아질 조짐을 보이고 있지만 아직 회복되지 않았다"로 분류된다.
그리고 인플레이션에 대해 전혀 말할 필요가 없다. 중앙은행에 의해 여전히 무시되고 있다. 연준은 장기적인 인플레이션이 아직 목표치인 2%에 도달하지 못했다고 보고 있으며(그들은 이것을 코뮤니케에서 심각하게 작성했다) 연준은 바로 이 2%까지 가속시키기 위해 가능한 모든 조치를 취하고 있다. 최근의 수치를 상기해보자: 소비자 인플레이션 5.4%, 산업 인플레이션 - 7.3%.
연준은 어제 금리 인상이나 양적완화 프로그램의 변수 조정조차 생각하지 않은 것도 놀랄 일이 아니다.
이러한 실명의 원인은 일반적으로 명백하다. 연준은 금융시장과 금융시스템 전체를 묻어버릴 수 있는 거품 붕괴를 두려워하고 있다. 그리고 그들은 마지막까지 고무줄을 당긴다. FOMC 회의 결과에 대한 미국 증시의 반응으로 미루어 볼 때, 그들은 매우 잘하고 있습니다.
무엇보다도, 미국의 석유 매장량의 역학 관계가 평상시대로 복귀하는 것에 주목할 필요가 있다. EIA와 API에 따르면 석유시장 부족을 떠올리며 다시 하락세로 돌아섰다. 그러나 구매자들은 강한 자극을 받지 못했고 석유는 계속 정상 부근을 떠돌았다.
오늘은 아마존 보고 외에도 2분기 미국 국내총생산(GDP)에 대한 예비 자료를 기다리고 있습니다. 데이터는 매우 훌륭할 것입니다. 그러나 그들은 여전히 주요 질문에 대답하지 않는다. 그리고 "다음에는 무슨 일이 일어날까요?" 이렇게 들립니다. 경기 회복 속도가 최고조에 달했을 가능성이 높다. 그리고 모든 사람들은 봉우리를 따라가는 것을 대충 추측한다. 하지만 나는 아직 그것에 대해 생각하고 싶지 않아. 하지만 당신은 해야만 한다. 그래서 우리는 실업자 보험금 청구 수치를 미국 경제 통계의 가장 효율적인 지표로 따르고 있다.
원문링크: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NSXUSD/IbkJYugq-Fed-is-Still-in-Denial-and-Giants-Publish-Reports/
[본문뒤 추가문구] 서학개미 투자포럼 - 해외투자 트렌드의 중심
