[선물] NDX가 다음 주부터 10~15% 조정을 주도할 것입니다. / NDX will lead this next 10-15%…
선물개미
0
1661
2021.07.21 11:24
NASDAQ 100 Index
merkd1904
Recently i did a post on reddit detailing how NDX is historically overbought. NDX has only breached 80 on the monthly RSI 9 times prior to our current prices. Each time resulted in at least a 9.5% pullback and upwards of 30-40% bear markets one some occasions.
I also outlined how NDX is in the intermediate term extremely overstretched. From the moving averages, to the pitchforks .
https://preview.redd.it/umnv9z2e2oa71.png?width=1828&format=png&auto=webp&s=665531ee90751999002351f039431f867a2e1df9
https://preview.redd.it/zp3iv53e2oa71.png?width=1828&format=png&auto=webp&s=19f82bac88c932267c86ef19ad440314e2f25ccc
https://preview.redd.it/367fwz2e2oa71.png?width=1828&format=png&auto=webp&s=cee3319ae8d91a8f0e207a3f947882d961345040
And for historical context, measuring from about the time of the Great Recession on a monthly chart
Standard Pitchfork
Schiff
Modified Schiff
Now before i get into the meat and potatoes of the post i want to outline that NDX is most likely topping. Having a trend termination yesterday.
Possibly printing a Modified H&S Topping Pattern
While five of the six FAANG names are also printing reversal patterns, four of which are possible H&S , with FB printing an intraday triple top
Now that we got that out of the way. This past weekend I did a time cycle analysis on SPX , DJI, and NDX. Measuring from our first correction in our technical new bull market (post COVID) our time cycles, and harmonics overall current position, in time, in the market. And, as you can see in the chart we are nearing what some may call a kill zone.
Notice that our correction in Oct/Sept had a time cycle spike, a sine line peak, and a time cycle trough. Now fast forward to today and what do we have coming up? A spike, sine line peak, and time cycle trough. Now when we get more granular, to the daily chart we diverge slightly between NDX and the rest of the broader market by about a weak, with NDX's new cycle plotted at 07/30, and SPX and DJI's plotted on 08/04.
Now, who has their earnings next week?
When's our next Fed meeting?
You do the math.
I also outlined how NDX is in the intermediate term extremely overstretched. From the moving averages, to the pitchforks .
https://preview.redd.it/umnv9z2e2oa71.png?width=1828&format=png&auto=webp&s=665531ee90751999002351f039431f867a2e1df9
https://preview.redd.it/zp3iv53e2oa71.png?width=1828&format=png&auto=webp&s=19f82bac88c932267c86ef19ad440314e2f25ccc
https://preview.redd.it/367fwz2e2oa71.png?width=1828&format=png&auto=webp&s=cee3319ae8d91a8f0e207a3f947882d961345040
And for historical context, measuring from about the time of the Great Recession on a monthly chart
Standard Pitchfork
Schiff
Modified Schiff
Now before i get into the meat and potatoes of the post i want to outline that NDX is most likely topping. Having a trend termination yesterday.
Possibly printing a Modified H&S Topping Pattern
While five of the six FAANG names are also printing reversal patterns, four of which are possible H&S , with FB printing an intraday triple top
Now that we got that out of the way. This past weekend I did a time cycle analysis on SPX , DJI, and NDX. Measuring from our first correction in our technical new bull market (post COVID) our time cycles, and harmonics overall current position, in time, in the market. And, as you can see in the chart we are nearing what some may call a kill zone.
Notice that our correction in Oct/Sept had a time cycle spike, a sine line peak, and a time cycle trough. Now fast forward to today and what do we have coming up? A spike, sine line peak, and time cycle trough. Now when we get more granular, to the daily chart we diverge slightly between NDX and the rest of the broader market by about a weak, with NDX's new cycle plotted at 07/30, and SPX and DJI's plotted on 08/04.
Now, who has their earnings next week?
When's our next Fed meeting?
You do the math.
번역:
나스닥 100 지수
merkd1904
최근에 나는 NDX가 역사적으로 어떻게 과대매입되었는지를 자세히 설명하는 글을 redit에 올렸다. NDX는 현재 가격보다 월평균 RSI에서 겨우 9배 이상 80을 돌파했습니다. 매번 최소 9.5%의 시장 후퇴와 30-40% 이상의 시장 약세 현상이 나타나기도 했습니다.
나는 또한 NDX가 어떻게 중기적으로 지나치게 확장되어 있는지 간략히 설명했다. 이동 평균에서 피치포크로.
https://preview.redd.it/umnv9z2e2oa71.png?너비=1828&format=png&auto=webp&s=66531ee90751999002351f039431f867a2e1df9
https://preview.redd.it/zp3iv53e2oa71.png?너비=1828&format=png&auto=webp&s=19f821888c932267c86ef19adad314e2f25cc
https://preview.redd.it/367fwz2e2oa71.png?너비=1828&format=png&auto=webp&s=cee3319ae8d91a8f0e207a3f947882d961345040
그리고 역사적인 맥락에서, 대재앙 당시를 월간 차트에 측정해 보면
표준 피치포크
쉬프
수정 쉬프
이제 포스트의 고기와 감자를 살펴보기 전에 NDX가 토핑일 가능성이 가장 높다는 것을 간략히 말씀드리고 싶습니다. 어제 추세 종료 중.
수정된 H&S 토핑 패턴 인쇄 가능
6개의 FAANG 이름 중 5개도 반전 패턴을 인쇄하고 있으며, 그 중 4개는 H&S가 가능하며, FB는 당일 트리플 탑을 인쇄하고 있다.
이제 우리가 그걸 치워버렸으니. 지난 주말에 SPX, DJI 및 NDX에 대한 시간 주기 분석을 실시했습니다. 새로운 기술 시장(포스트 COVID)의 첫 번째 수정 시점부터 측정하여 현재 시장에서의 전반적인 위치를 조화롭게 조정했습니다. 차트를 보시면 아시겠지만 저희는 킬 존이라고 부르는 지역이 가까워지고 있습니다.
10월/9월에 수정한 내용은 시간 주기 스파이크, 사인 라인 피크 및 시간 주기 트로프입니다. 그럼 오늘로 빠르게 넘어가서 앞으로 어떤 일이 벌어질까요? 스파이크, 사인선 피크 및 시간 주기 수조. 이제 좀 더 세분화된 일일 차트를 보면 NDX와 나머지 시장 간에 약세가 나타나고 NDX의 새로운 주기는 07/30으로, SPX와 DJI는 08/04로 표시됩니다.
자, 다음 주 수입은 누가 가지고 있나요?
다음 Fed 미팅은 언제죠?
네가 한번 계산해봐.
원문링크: https://www.tradingview.com/chart/NDX/KcvQTWRs-NDX-will-lead-this-next-10-15-correction-starting-next-week/
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